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Looks Like 2013 is Going to be the Year of Easy Car Financing

New forecasts are out that indicate cars will be the product to buy in 2013. Along with the amount estimated that consumers will borrow in car loans and the estimated very low default rates, my bet is that new car financing will be much easier to get in 2013.

TransUnion released its annual national auto loan delinquency forecast today indicating that the ratio of borrowers 60 or more days past due will remain near record-low levels throughout 2013. TransUnion also forecasts that auto debt per borrower will continue its uptrend next year, jumping from an expected $13,689 in Q4 2012 to $14,133 at the end of 2013, a sign that auto financing will continue to grow as new and used car sales increase.

The low auto loan delinquency environment has persisted even as more non-prime, higher-risk consumers carry auto loan balances. In Q3 2011, TransUnion’s Industry Insights database found approximately 19.97 million borrowers with a VantageScore® credit score lower than 700 (on a scale of 501-990) carried auto loan balances. This number increased to 20.66 million in Q3 2012.

Looks Like 2013 is Going to be the Year of Easy Car Financing

Happy new car buyer. Hope you love those new monthly payments.

“It’s a real sign that the automobile market is on solid footing that even with more non-prime consumers carrying auto loan balances, we’ve continued to maintain a low national auto loan delinquency rate,” said Turek. “We believe this is happening partly because consumers are now valuing their auto loans even more than their credit card and mortgage loans; also lenders and dealers are putting even more emphasis on placing buyers in vehicles and loans that best fit their financial situation,” said Peter Turek, automotive vice president in TransUnion’s financial services business unit.

The total number of consumers carrying auto loan balances also has increased in the last year, rising from 59.27 million in Q3 2011 to 61.68 million in Q3 2012. With this rise, auto loan debt per borrower jumped from $12,902 to $13,571 in those same periods. If TransUnion’s 2013 forecast holds true, auto loan debt will have increased 11 straight quarters since Q1 2011. In the 11 quarters prior to Q1 2011, auto loan debt experienced only three quarterly increases.

When you look at the forecast charts below, the anticipated changes are dramatic in loan balances.

Looks Like 2013 is Going to be the Year of Easy Car Financing

There is a lot of demand for major new purchases that has been building up over the last few years as the economy has trickled back. The key clue that car financing will become easier as demand increases is the discovery that car loan deficiency and default rates for lower credit scores seems to be in a historical low range.

This trend for 2013 has a silver lining for consumers as well. As more people with lower credit scores will be approved for financing, the battle over rates will create competition to lower rates for even those with potentially bad credit. Meaning, it might just be cheaper to finance a new or used car purchase in 2013.

Looks Like 2013 is Going to be the Year of Easy Car Financing
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About Steve Rhode

Steve Rhode
Steve Rhode is the Get Out of Debt Guy and has been helping good people with bad debt problems since 1994. You can learn more about Steve, here.
  • stellabelly

    No doubt that 2013 saw a great year regarding car finance as millions people dream come true through these financial services http://www.faradaywestfinance.com.au/like that provide cheap or zero interest rates, but need to taken car that proper plan is necessary as repayment is done after enjoying the finance.

  • Robert Platt Bell

    Good Article, Steve, but an odd one for a “Get out of debt” website.

    The best way to avoid debt problems is to avoid debt. And borrowing money – even at advantageous terms, is always problematic – you have to pay it back.

    And if your personal situation changes – loss of job, divorce, illness, that debt is still there.

    I would suggest to readers of your site – who all seem to have horrific debt problems – to avoid the temptation of “easy financing”.

    One problem with these easy financing terms is that they negate rebates or other discounts.

    So, for example, to get 2.9% financing on a car, you may have to give up a $2000 cash rebate. Which is better, on a $20,000 car – getting 10% off the price, or getting fake-rate financing? I’ll take the cash.

    Of course, in today’s market, with demand so high, the car makers are scotching these rebates and financing deals. While it may be easier to GET financing, it is harder to get these super-low-rate deals. And average price of a car has crept up.

    For example, last year, I was looking at a Nissan Frontier (my current car has 140,000 miles on it, and it will have to be replaced, eventually). In the early part of the year, they were offering huge rebates, and the crew-cab truck was selling for $22,000 at a dealer in Hilton Head – brand new.

    Eight months later, you can’t touch the same truck for less than $25,000. The rebates evaporated and the dealers stopped discounting. Demand went up, supply went down, prices skyrocketed.

    I think 2014 might be a better year for a car, if you can hold out. Demand may slacken, and companies will again offer rebates and discounts. And many of the cars being sold from 2010 until today will start to appear in the used car market at bargain prices.

    The car business is very cyclical like this – some years it seems everyone is buying and other years, no one is. If you can time your car purchases to be buying in the off year, you might do a lot better.

    Now is NOT the time to buy – not when sales are so high. IMHO.

    • http://GetOutOfDebt.org Steve Rhode

      I get your point about debt and car financing but I’d be remiss if I didn’t talk acknowledge both sides of the coin.

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