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Forecasts and Trends

Federal Reserve Data Out Yesterday Still Shows Student Loan Concerns


Yesterday the Federal Reserve released the latest data on consumer borrowing. It’s been interesting watching all the media reports about what it means. Some say the big percentage rise in revolving debt is an indication about consumer confidence, and it might be. But it’s not unusual to see a summer spike in charging as vacations ensue. What is more concerning ... Read More »

    FTC-CFPB Debt Collection Roundtable Suggestions Could Kick Credit Counseling and Debt Settlement in the Nuts


    This past week the FTC and CFPB held a joint roundtable meeting where they brought together debt collection industry participants to talk about reforms in the debt collection space. A most interesting fact came out of the meeting, that the non-appearence rate among consumers being sued for debt is about 90%. That doesn’t surprise me. What does surprise me is ... Read More »

      June, 2013 G19 Release Shows Little Movement for Debt Relief Industry


      The latest G19 report is out from the Federal Reserve. Typically the debt relief industry is most interested or able to deal with revolving debt such as credit cards. The April, 2013 data just released shows revolving consumer debt rose at an annual rate of 1 percent while nonrevolving consumer debt rose at 6.4 percent. Nonrevolving debt includes automobile loans ... Read More »

        Consumers Defaulting Less on Debt Says New Data

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        New data out from S*P and Experian says consumers are doing a better job paying their bills. The national composite of consumer defaults hit its post-recession low of 1.42% in April, down from 1.50% in March. The first mortgage default rate moved down to 1.31% in April from 1.41% in March. The auto loan default rate posted a 1.07% rate ... Read More »

          Banks Talk About Easing Lending – May, 2013

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          The April 2013 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices is just out and here is banks had to say about consumer lending. “Responses from domestic banks indicated that they are somewhat more willing to make consumer installment loans now as opposed to three months ago. However, only a small net fraction of banks reported having eased standards ... Read More »

            Debt Settlement in Canada Drying Up Quickly


            I was talking with a high ranking source in Canada inside the debt relief industry. They mentioned the number of debt settlement ads on radio and television have disappeared. The days of heavy debt settlement marketing in Canada are gone. They also said their contacts at national creditors in Canada are reporting new debt settlement proposals have dropped by about ... Read More »

              Less Need for Debt Relief Companies Shown in Census Data

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              The U.S. Census Bureau released data recently which should be of concern for debt relief companies, except possibly bankruptcy attorneys. While the amount of debt is rising for consumers the makeup of that debt is changing significantly. Most importantly, the most damning statistic from the survey is the percent of household holding debt. That number has been steadily declining meaning ... Read More »

                Good News and Bad News About U.S. Consumer Debt

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                The census bureau has released a new report that chronicles household debt in the U.S. from 2000-2011. The good news is that fewer households are carrying some form of debt. In 2011 69 percent of households did compared to 74 percent in 2000. The bad news is that those that are carrying debt are carrying more. In 2011 dollars the ... Read More »

                  Bankruptcy Filings Decline in 2012

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                  Bankruptcy filings in the federal courts fell 13 percent in calendar year 2012, according to data released today by the Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts. The number of bankruptcies filed in the 12-month period ending December 31, 2012, totaled 1,221,091, down from the 1,410,653 bankruptcies filed in CY 2011. Statistics released today include business and non-business filings for the ... Read More »

                    2013 Outlook for Credit Counseling: A Legal and Regulatory Perspective


                    As the start of 2013 is upon us, nonprofit credit counseling agencies will be trying to anticipate the needs of their communities, by knowing what to expect in the New Year. We don’t have a magic eight ball or special insight into the future, but by looking backward, we think it’s possible to help understand what’s on the legal and ... Read More »

                      Demand for Debt Relief Help Sinks & Stinks. Lowest Levels Since 1994.


                      Consumer delinquencies continued to decline in the third quarter of 2012, with bank card delinquencies falling to an 18-year low as consumers strengthen their financial base amid economic uncertainty, according to results from the American Bankers Association’s Consumer Credit Delinquency Bulletin. During the third quarter, bank card delinquencies dropped to their lowest levels since 1994, falling 18 basis points to ... Read More »

                        Demand for Debt Help Expected to Remain at Current Levels Through 2013


                        TransUnion is has released their forward looking statement on credit card delinquencies. If their analysis holds, demand for debt relief services should remain at current levels with no jump in sight. Although the forecasts are trending upwards and showing a slow loading of the future pipeline for debt relief help with balances expected to increase and more sub-prime cards being ... Read More »

                          Credit Card Delinquency Rates Jump Up. Balances Rise Also.

                          Ready to Collapse

                          CHICAGO, IL–(Marketwire – November 19, 2012) – The national credit card delinquency rate (the ratio of borrowers 90 or more days past due) increased slightly to 0.75% in Q3 2012 from 0.71% in Q3 2011. This rate had been 0.63% in Q2 2012, a seasonal low. Average credit card debt per borrower also increased on a yearly basis by 4.91%, ... Read More »

                            Bankruptcy Filings Down in 2012. Continued Bad News for Debt Relief Industry.

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                            The latest statistics out from the United States Courts show that bankruptcy filings are dropping. That’s good news for consumers and bad news for companies that sell debt relief services. According to filing data, the number of non-business bankruptcy filings for the same year-on-year period ending September 30 has significantly dropped. Chapter 7 bankruptcy filling dropped from 1,036,950 to 874,337. ... Read More »

                              Consumer Debt Default Rates Continue Downward Decline

                              Ready to Collapse

                              Data through September 2012, released today by S&P Dow Jones Indices and Experian for the S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices, a comprehensive measure of changes in consumer credit defaults, showed that most loan types saw a decrease in default rates, including the national composite’s ninth consecutive monthly decline. Four of the five loan types posted their lowest rate since the ... Read More »

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