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Forecasts and Trends

Credit Card Delinquencies Poised for an Increase

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In what I predict will be a good news, bad new trend for debt relief companies it now appears that we may be in early days of an increase in credit card delinquencies. This might be a big increase with both the holiday spending period upon us and employment remaining flat. Credit card delinquencies are currently at historic lows rates, ... Read More »

    Federal Reserve Announces Revolving Consumer Debt Fell in September

    Revolving Consumer Credit

    According to the Federal Reserve, consumer credit increased at an annual rate of 1-1/2 percent in the third quarter. But revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 3-1/4 percent, while non-revolving credit increased 3-3/4 percent. In September, consumer credit increased at an annual rate of 3-1/2 percent. The increase of non-revolving consumer debt is linked to auto and student ... Read More »

      Debt Relief Demand Continues to Drop. Bankruptcy Filings Slow.

      Quarterly Bankruptcy Figures

      The latest bankruptcy filing numbers are out. Unfortunately they do not spell opportunity for current debt relief providers of any tax status. The decline in demand by consumers for intervention services has dropped across the board. For me it’s just further evidence the pipeline for debt relief help is draining and without a new influx of credit issued to consumers ... Read More »

        Credit Counselors Clueless. I Have a Dream of a Better Debt Relief Industry

        Ready to Collapse

        Recently I had a chance to listen to a conference call of non-profit credit counseling agencies. It was a highly enlightening hour of my life and confirmed what I was hoping was not true. I’m sad to tell you today, after listening to the call, the majority of the non-profit credit counseling agencies don’t have a clue what their own ... Read More »

          Debt Relief Industry Recovery Postponed Again. Consumer Confidence, Sucks!

          Consumer Credit Counseling Trend

          The latest consumer confidence numbers are out. It’s not good news. Apparently consumers are less confident now about the future than they’ve been in a while. The Consumer Confidence index dropped almost seven points from last month. Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: “Consumer confidence is now back to levels last seen during the 2008-2009 ... Read More »

            Why is Credit Counseling Stumped Demand is Down?

            Ready to Collapse

            Over the past couple of weeks I’ve noticed a wave of information appearing on the web about the decrease in demand for credit counseling services. The reason given seems to be “consumer fatigue.” The peak client numbers that nonprofit consumer credit counselors saw in 2009 appear to be slowly falling. NFCC member agencies in the Ninth District began to see ... Read More »

              Credit Card Balances Continue to Drop in August

              Ready to Collapse

              Federal Reserve data just out shows consumer revolving and non-revolving debt continues to drop. August showed a 3.4 percent drop in revolving debt. More disconcerting was the reduction in the pools of securitized assets where issued credit cards are packaged and sold. August’s 40.3 billion is anemic and is not a good indicator that banks can initiate and move larger ... Read More »

                Bankcard Issuance High But Still Not Good Sign for Debt Relief Industry

                PRMIA Survey

                Just like the economy, credit card issuers are sending mixed signals about consumer debt. I wanted to share my opinions and read the tea leaves this month. Equifax is reporting credit cards are being issued at a faster rate this year. “More than 18 million new bankcards have been originated between January-June 2011. While this total represents a 3-year high ... Read More »

                  Debt Levels Drop For Consumers in Credit Counseling

                  Ready to Collapse

                  A credit counseling trade association has recently sent out an update to members about what a current credit counseling client looks like. The data suggests exactly what I’ve been reporting on recently, people with debt problems are skewing older these days and it is taking less debt to push people over the edge. But the most surprising number is the ... Read More »

                    Consumer Debt Drops to 2004 and Earlier Levels

                    FR Data July 2011

                    Federal Reserve numbers released on September 8, 2011 show that the amount of revolving consumer debt outstanding dropped in the last reported period, July. Revolving debt fell to $792.5 billion which is the lowest level since August 2004. This data represents a lower per capita indebtedness since the U.S. population has grown from 292 billion in 2004 to about 311 ... Read More »

                      Consumer Confidence Really Bad in August And Delinquencies Are Down

                      Ready to Collapse

                      New consumer confidence numbers out show exactly what we didn’t want to see in the debt relief space. Consumer confidence has dropped to near record levels at 44.5 on the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index. Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: “Consumer confidence deteriorated sharply in August, as consumers grew significantly more pessimistic about the ... Read More »

                        Car Loan Delinquency Rates Drop for Seventh Consecutive Quarter to Historic Low

                        Auto Loan Delinquency Rates

                        The national auto delinquency rate (the rate of borrowers 60 or more days past due) decreased for the seventh consecutive quarter, dropping to 0.44% at the end of the second quarter in 2011. This is according to TransUnion and its ongoing series of quarterly analyses of credit-active U.S. consumers and how they are managing credit related to mortgage, credit cards ... Read More »

                          Post-Recession Charge-Offs Vanishing

                          vanish

                          An interesting article sent in by a tipster (send in your tips here) from Inside ARM reinforces what has been said here about bad debt declining. The article looks into the vanishing charge off debt and without that debt there is less stimulus for debt relief services. The article says: “So, I decided to do a little digging. I ended ... Read More »

                            Consumers Doing Much Better Paying On Time. 17 Year Low.

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                            New data out from TransUnion shows that consumers are doing a great job of bringing their finances back into good shape. For the sixth consecutive quarter, the credit card delinquency rate has dropped. The number of consumers that were 90 days or more delinquent has now dropped to a 17 year low and credit card debt per borrower is hovering ... Read More »

                              Consumers Avoiding Debt Reports NY Fed

                              A report out from the New York Federal Reserve shows that the amount of consumer debt has dropped since June 2010. As of June 30, 2011, total consumer indebtedness was $11.4 trillion, a reduction of $1.08 trillion (8.6%) from its peak level at the close of 2008Q3. Consumers’ non-real estate indebtedness now stands at $2.28 trillion, 9.5% below its 2008Q4 ... Read More »

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